Democrats’ Path to a November Majority Has Hurdles

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Strong economic news and polling on GOP tax cut could impede the blue wave

Democrats figure to have a good day Tuesday in Pennsylvania. They’ll either win or come close to winning a special election for an open House seat, in a district that President Donald Trump carried by 20 percentage points and that should be a lock for the Republicans.

Democrats will take that as a sign that they are well-positioned to win back control of the House this year, and maybe the Senate, because they have well-funded candidates, a party base highly motivated by disdain for the president, and a key constituency in...